GOLD PRICE OUTLOOK:

• Gold and silver prices held gains ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC meeting minutes
• Disappointing US retail sales data and rising geopolitical tensions in Afghanistan boosted demand for gold
• Prices are eyeing $1,785 for immediate resistance, breaching which may open the door for further gains

Gold extended higher during Wednesday’s APAC session after gaining 3.3% over the last 5 trading days. Risk sentiment turned sour after the US Commerce Department released poorer-than-expected retail sales figures for July. This suggests that the stimulus– and reopening-fueled economic rebound is probably losing steam. A automobile supply shortage and the spread of the Delta variant of Covid-19 may have also contributed to the decline, pointing to a tepid growth outlook in the third quarter. This strengthened the case for further extension of the Fed’s current stimulus efforts, buoying precious metals.

Meanwhile, rising geopolitical tensions in Afghanistan and the Taiwan Strait have also boosted demand for gold and silver, which were perceived as hedges against those risks. The DXY US Dollar index retreated from a 4-month high, underpinning their prices. Gold and the US Dollar exhibited a historic negative relationship, as a weaker USD makes the yellow metal more appealing to investors holding a foreign currency.

Gold Prices vs. DXY US Dollar Index – Past 12 Months